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Start Learning Forex with the School of PipDaddys
MAKING MONEY IN FOREX
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IDENTIFYING A BARGAIN DAY
After determining a trend bias the next step is to identify a bargain day.
Chapter 3 introduced you to the concept of finding bargain days, and the
Sitcom System uses them to locate days that potentially offer the best deal
on a trade. Traders often jump into trends at a price that doesn’t represent
the best possible value for their trade. This is usually referred to as
DETERMINING TRENDS
Every trading day has a high and a low edge that you could potentially trade
along, but it isn’t efficient to do so. To increase your chances of selecting
a successful trade, the Sitcom System begins by determining a directional
trend bias through the use of a simple moving average indicator. The rules
Bargain Hunting Along the Edge
This chapter contains the first of three trading methodologies that will
put the support and resistance tactics you learned in Chapter 3 to
good use. In this chapter you will learn a trading methodology I affectionately
refer to as the Sitcom System because it allowed me to trade on
my own schedule, often while I watched a favorite television sitcom. The
system combines what you have learned about support and resistance with
simple price action analysis. The Sitcom System focuses on daily charts,
and for the purposes of this discussion I define the end of the trading day
as 5:00 P.M. Eastern Time. This ensures that both the London and New York
trading days have closed before we begin to plan a trade, allowing us to see
the full range or price action for that trading day.
After each trading day there are two distinct boundaries formed by
support and resistance. The daily high is a boundary that buyers could not
overcome; the daily low is a boundary that sellers could not overcome. The
extreme edges of price action for a trading day mark the front lines in the
battle between buyers and sellers. Traders can use these clearly identified
support and resistance zones to their advantage with the help of simple
price action analysis.
To trade the Sitcom System, you need a trend, a bargain day, a support
or resistance zone, and a profit target. If you’re one of those traders who
believes that a daily chart requires 100 pip stops, you’re about to learn a
much better way to trade long-term charts.
AUTOMATING PROFIT WITH LIMIT ORDERS
Automating profit management through the use of limit orders is just as
important as managing risk through the use of stop orders. It might seem
USING TRAILING STOPS
Earlier in this chapter we discussed how breakeven stops and scaling out
can actually add volatility to your trading performance, but what about
trailing stops? Many traders attempt to lock in profits as the market moves
in their favor by trailing the market with their stop order. I rarely use trailing
IDENTIFYING PROFIT TARGETS WITH FIBONACCI RATIOS
As a discretionary trader, using Fibonacci retracement ratios is my favorite
technique for identifying profit targets. Many books discuss using
Fibonacci as a trade entry technique, but I prefer to use them to identify
profit targets. Fibonacci ratios provide a simple and consistent profit management
IDENTIFYING PROFIT TARGETS
Knowing when to take profit on a trade is often a subjective and frustrating
process for many discretionary traders. Often a trade will be closed too
early or open too long while a trader tries to squeeze every last pip out
of it. Without a systemic, repeatable procedure to determine when to take
profits, a trader will never feel truly comfortable with his decision to take
profit, and volatility will continue to be an issue in his returns.
In this section you will learn two of my favorite tactics to identify profit
targets. First, you will learn how to use support and resistance to identify
simple profit targets based on price action. Second, you will learn an advanced
method of identifying profit targets using Fibonacci retracement
and extension ratios.
Identifying Profit Targets with Support and Resistance
COMMON PROFIT MANAGEMENT TECHNIQUES THAT INCREASE VOLATILITY
Regardless of how careful a trader is in planning a trade, there is no guarantee
that the market will reach the intended profit target. Occasionally
the market will come close to a profit target only to reverse direction and
move quickly against a trade. There is nothing more frustrating than setting
a trade in motion only to find out later that you could have taken a profit
but ended up with a loss.
Managing Profit
Complete trade management should include guidelines to enter a
trade, manage risk, and manage when to take profit. Many traders
focus on entering and managing risk but leave managing profit open
to subjective decision making, which is a mistake. Knowing when to take a
profit is important enough to include managing profit as a core trading principle
for bargain hunters. In this chapter you will learn to manage profit
KNOW WHEN TO TAKE A BREAK
Finally, the last mistake I see traders make on a regular basis is refusing
to take a break when their trading is really suffering. I think this applies to
discretionary traders more often than system traders. If you are a system
trader, you probably understand your trading system’s average drawdown
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